Terms, Conditions & Risks

Terms of Use

You agree to defend, indemnify and hold us and our affiliates harmless from any and all claims, liabilities, costs and expenses arising in any way from your use of any services provided by Probable Trades.

We invite our subscribers to enjoy all the features this site has to offer. But we must require that each subscriber abide by certain rules so that no one's rights are stepped on.

Failure to abide by these rules can result in immediate termination of access to ProbableTrades.com, without refund or recourse.

  1. Do not share your logon passwords and user names. Our system is designed to detect this immediately, and suspend any account where more than one person signs on using the same username and password.
  2. Do not reprint, republish, repost, or otherwise distribute or transmit content or images presented on this site. Just because it is easy to download something you may be able to copy our content doesn't mean you own it. Unauthorized use of or copying of our content, trademarks, and other proprietary material can subject you to civil or even criminal liability.

Copyright and Trademark Law

All editorial content and graphics on this site are protected by U.S. copyright and international treaties and may not be copied or re-used without the express written permission of ProbableTrades.com, which reserves all rights .

Refund Policy

Subscriptions may be canceled at any time by either party. These cancellations must be sent via email to support@probabletrades.com. Please include your account user name and email address we have on file for you. When termination is requested by a subscriber, subscription fees are not refunded. Rather, the current subscription will run its course to the end of the current billing cycle, at which point the subscription would then become inactive and the account canceled. Cancellation of service is not official until subscriber receives an email confirmation from Probable Trades, and if your request is not answered in 3 business days, you will need to call us and confirm cancellation.

Trading Risks

You should consider the following points before engaging in trading activities. For purposes of this notice, "trading" means the transmission by you of multiple electronic orders to effect both purchase and sale transactions in the same security or securities.

Trading is extremely risky. You should be prepared to lose all of the funds that you use for trading. In particular, you should not fund trading activities with retirement savings, student loans, second mortgages, emergency funds, funds set aside for purposes such as education or home ownership, or funds required for current income to meet your living expenses.

Be cautious of claims of large profits from trading. You should be wary of advertisements or other statements that emphasize the potential for large profits in trading. trading can also lead to large and immediate financial losses.

Trading requires knowledge of securities markets. Trading requires in-depth knowledge of the securities markets and trading techniques and strategies. In attempting to profit through trading, you must compete with professional, licensed traders employed by securities firms. You should have appropriate experience before engaging in trading.

Trading requires knowledge of the company's operations of each you are dealing with. You should be familiar with each securities firm's business practices, including the operation of the firm's order execution systems and procedures. You should confirm that the firm has adequate systems capacity to permit customers to engage in trading activities.

Trading may result in your paying large commissions. Trading may require you to trade your account aggressively, and you may pay commissions on each trade. The total daily commissions that you pay on your trades may add to your losses or significantly reduce your earnings.

Trading on margin or short selling may result in losses beyond your initial investment. When you trade with funds borrowed from a firm or someone else, you can lose more than the funds you originally placed at risk. A decline in the value of the securities that are purchased may require you to provide additional funds to the firm to avoid the forced sale of those securities or other securities in your account. Short selling as part of your trading strategy also increases the risk of extraordinary losses because you may have to purchase a stock at a very high price in order to cover a short position.

Persons providing investment advice for others or managing securities accounts for others may need to register as either a "Investment Advisor" under the Investment Advisors Act of 1940 or as a "Broker" or "Dealer" under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such activities may also trigger state registration requirements.

Personal Responsibility

Probable Trades publishes information that is educational in nature and designed to contribute to your overall understanding of various types of technical analysis and how we apply this information to the financial markets. We are in no way recommending the purchase, sale or short sale of any securities, options, futures or other financial instruments. Trading of stocks, options, and futures may not be suitable for everyone and may involve the risk of losing part of your money, all of your money, or in the case of futures, more than all of your money.

We at Probable Trades are not Financial Advisors or Registered Analysts. We do not offer our various model portfolios as trading recommendations for you to copy. These models represent our own accounts and/or opinions and are intended to teach our style of short-term trading. For example, if technology stocks happen to be selling off day after day, members can review our newsletters and portfolios and actions taken in the live trading rooms to see what we are thinking or doing, and how we are handling that type of situation.It is up to you to make your own decisions as what you want to do with your own portfolio.

We do not claim to have a special insight into the markets that prevent us from making mistakes. We do make mistakes. However, we believe our successes more than make up for our mistakes, and will continue to offer our education until proven otherwise. Observe our mistakes and utilize these lessons in your own trading programs.

Trading of stocks, and especially options and futures, may not be suitable for everyone. Though there are large potential rewards, short-term trading is very risky, especially when your accounts are fully margined. There is certainly a chance in which you can lose all of your money.If you are trading futures, there is a chance that your account can go negative, and that you will end up owing money to your broker.In addition, prior to buying or selling a stock, option, or futures contract, an investor will need a broker, and they must meet suitability requirements in order to trade these specific instruments..

By accepting this disclaimer you are acknowledging the risks involved in trading the stock, options, and futures markets and are also acknowledging that you, the subscriber, and not Probable Trades, are solely responsible for any losses, financial or otherwise, as a result of using this service. Probable Trades shall under no circumstances be liable for any lost profits, lost opportunities, misstatements, or errors contained within these pages. You also agree that Probable Trades will not be held liable for data accuracy, server problems, or any special or consequential damages that result from the use of, or the inability to use, any or all of the materials published on our Website. You agree to hold Probable Trades harmless for any act resulting directly or indirectly from this site, its data, content, materials, associated pages and documents.

Employees of Probable Trades may or may not have positions in the educational picks posted to the site through its newsletters or in the trading rooms. In addition, hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading, including the ability to withstand losses. Finally, past performance is in no way indicative of future results.

If you find yourself interested in our trading styles, remember that it is important to diversify your investments and not throw all of your money into one basket or technique. If you do copy our buys and sells, you are doing so at your own risk. We're not recommending that anyone copy us, and believe that all investors should make their own decisions. We are here to teach by example, through our successes and mistakes.

Hypothetical Results Disclaimer

Our track records are utilized as a "model" to present a general idea of how our research and specific picks have fared over specific periods of time and in various market conditions. Our trades are posted each evening, and are followed from start to finish. However, we are in no way representing that similar results will be achieved by following our strategies and picks. In addition, we include as part of our disclaimer information regarding back-tested trading systems as well as hypothetical track records, which is as follows:

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

THIS COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD IS HYPOTHETICAL AND THESE TRADING ADVISORS HAVE NOT TRADED TOGETHER IN THE MANNER SHOWN IN THE COMPOSITE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY MULTI-ADVISOR MANAGED ACCOUNT OR POOL WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE A COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD SIMILAR TO THAT SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN A HYPOTHETICAL COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD AND THE ACTUAL RECORD SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF A HYPOTHETICAL COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD IS THAT DECISIONS RELATING TO THE SELECTION OF TRADING ADVISORS AND THE ALLOCATION OF ASSETS AMONG THOSE ADVISORS WERE MADE WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT BASED UPON THE HISTORICAL RATES OF RETURN OF THE SELECTED TRADING ADVISORS. THEREFORE, COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORDS INVARIABLY SHOW POSITIVE RATES OF RETURN. ANOTHER INHERENT LIMITATION ON THESE RESULTS IS THAT THE ALLOCATION DECISIONS REFLECTED IN THE PERFORMANCE RECORD WERE NOT MADE UNDER ACTUAL MARKET CONDITIONS AND, THEREFORE, CANNOT COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FURTHERMORE, THE COMPOSITE PERFORMANCE RECORD MAY BE DISTORTED BECAUSE THE ALLOCATION OF ASSETS CHANGES FROM TIME TO TIME AND THESE ADJUSTMENTS ARE NOT REFLECTED IN THE COMPOSITE.